Strature Briefs · Forecast register

Every forecast in our published briefs.

Each forecast printed in a published brief is listed here with its estimate, the date it was issued and the date it resolves. Rows are added when a brief is released and are never removed.

0 of 5
resolved (published briefs)

The first resolves on 31 October 2027.

The register

No forecast in a published brief has resolved yet.

Each estimate is our estimate, scored when it resolves. When a forecast resolves, its outcome and its score are added to its row; a superseded forecast stays listed.

Every forecast in published Strature Briefs: identifier, forecast, our estimate, issued, resolves by, status and brief
IDForecastOur estimateIssuedResolves byStatusBrief
F-0151 Can Canada turn promised capital into built projects? A build with a government term. 16%, our estimate, scored when it resolves Issued 28 Sep 2026 Resolves by 31 Oct 2027 Open Q 021, Edition 1.0
F-0152 Can Canada turn promised capital into built projects? A build on private contracts only. 27%, our estimate, scored when it resolves Issued 28 Sep 2026 Resolves by 31 Oct 2027 Open Q 021, Edition 1.0
F-0153 Can Canada turn promised capital into built projects? Airport terms published, no build. 16%, our estimate, scored when it resolves Issued 28 Sep 2026 Resolves by 31 Oct 2027 Open Q 021, Edition 1.0
F-0154 Can Canada turn promised capital into built projects? A fast-track listing only. 14%, our estimate, scored when it resolves Issued 28 Sep 2026 Resolves by 31 Oct 2027 Open Q 021, Edition 1.0
F-0155 Can Canada turn promised capital into built projects? A standstill. 27%, our estimate, scored when it resolves Issued 28 Sep 2026 Resolves by 31 Oct 2027 Open Q 021, Edition 1.0

The register covers published Strature Briefs only. Forecasts made in work that is not published are not listed here. Forecasts are general research on public events and policy; they are not investment, legal or tax advice.

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