3 questions answered in 2 published briefs · Updated 1 Oct 2026
“In Taiwan: Fab 18 (3nm) and Fabs 20 and 22 (2nm), on TSMC's table of 28 Feb 2026.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary Taiwan, Province of China Affected United States of America, Japan, China, Germany
“2 to 3 points of gross margin early, 3 to 4 points later.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary Taiwan, Province of China Affected United States of America, Japan, Germany
“The source treated allies as re-pricing the credibility of US commitments rather than US capability.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States of America Affected Taiwan, Province of China, Germany
No question matches the chosen filters.
Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.
Regions in these questions East Asia · Europe · North America
No published brief has Germany as its subject yet; the questions above name it as affected.
Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.
No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.
| ID | Forecast | Our estimate | Issued | Resolves by | Status |
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The full brief goes to organisations who accept the terms and whose order is approved; there is no charge while prices are not published.
X 001 · Edition 1.0
C 004 · Edition 1.0
General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.
Suggest it for the series; if we take it up, the answer is published to everyone.