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South Africa

1 question answered in 1 published brief · Updated 1 Oct 2026

Questions answered

The questions our published briefs answer that touch South Africa.

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Where South Africa is affected

Theme Brief · T 003 · 1 questionWas the Strait of Hormuz closed, or repriced cargo by cargo?

Geoeconomic13. Urea prices fell back, but the planting decisions were taken near the peak30 Sep 2026
Which economies are most exposed to the Gulf fertiliser shock?

“Gulf economies supplied 24.8 per cent of world nitrogenous fertiliser exports and 11.4 per cent of phosphatic exports, on the WTO's figures.”

The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.

Primary Islamic Republic of Iran, Oman Affected Kenya, Malawi, Mozambique, Rwanda, South Africa, United Republic of Tanzania, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Brazil, Nepal, Sri Lanka

Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.

Regions in these questions Africa · Asia · Middle East · South America

Published briefs

Briefs with South Africa as their subject.

No published brief has South Africa as its subject yet; the questions above name it as affected.

Forecast register

Forecasts on the register attached to the questions above.

Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.

No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.

The forecast register

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General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.

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