2 questions answered in 2 published briefs · Updated 1 Oct 2026
“No balancing coalition formed: Argentina aligned with Washington, Mexico and Canada hedged, Brazil opened a trade track with China, and Colombia broke with Washington rhetorically.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States of America Affected Argentina, Mexico, Canada, Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), Cuba, Panama, Greenland, Denmark
“Gulf economies supplied 24.8 per cent of world nitrogenous fertiliser exports and 11.4 per cent of phosphatic exports, on the WTO's figures.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary Islamic Republic of Iran, Oman Affected Kenya, Malawi, Mozambique, Rwanda, South Africa, United Republic of Tanzania, Uganda, Zimbabwe, Brazil, Nepal, Sri Lanka
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Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.
Regions in these questions Africa · Asia · Europe · Latin America · Middle East · North America · South America
No published brief has Brazil as its subject yet; the questions above name it as affected.
Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.
No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.
| ID | Forecast | Our estimate | Issued | Resolves by | Status |
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C 004 · Edition 1.0
T 003 · Edition 1.0
General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.
Suggest it for the series; if we take it up, the answer is published to everyone.