3 questions answered in 2 published briefs · Updated 1 Oct 2026
“Vietnam +2.1 points and Mexico +2.0 points of US import share since 2018”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary China Affected United States of America, Viet Nam, Mexico
“No balancing coalition formed: Argentina aligned with Washington, Mexico and Canada hedged, Brazil opened a trade track with China, and Colombia broke with Washington rhetorically.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States of America Affected Argentina, Mexico, Canada, Brazil, Colombia, Venezuela (Bolivarian Republic of), Cuba, Panama, Greenland, Denmark
“For the source, the region reaches business through the USMCA perimeter rather than through the border itself: qualification decides most of the tariff bill, and the first measures that ignore qualification fell on Canada.”
The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.Primary United States of America Affected Mexico, Canada
No question matches the chosen filters.
Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.
Regions in these questions East Asia · Europe · Latin America · North America · Southeast Asia
No published brief has Mexico as its subject yet; the questions above name it as affected.
Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.
No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.
| ID | Forecast | Our estimate | Issued | Resolves by | Status |
|---|
The full brief goes to organisations who accept the terms and whose order is approved; there is no charge while prices are not published.
C 003 · Edition 1.0
C 004 · Edition 1.0
General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.
Suggest it for the series; if we take it up, the answer is published to everyone.