Follow Taiwan StraitAlerts when its risks move. Free.
No oil flow on file crosses the Taiwan Strait, so no volumes are shown; ships routed east of Taiwan add up to 3 days. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.
This page answers: Who depends on this strait, who runs short first if it closes, and what is there to watch?
In the register’s exact words, each with our estimate, scored when it resolves.
F-0200 · Taiwan and the Philippines: a named drill, no clash · 28%, our estimate, scored when it resolves · resolves by 30 Jun 2027 · Open · brief C-005
F-0202 · Taiwan and the Philippines: coercion short of war (a blockade or quarantine of a Taiwan port) · 4%, our estimate, scored when it resolves · resolves by 30 Jun 2027 · Open · brief C-005
No oil or gas flow on file crosses this strait; the figure is the extra time at sea, as reported.
No oil or gas flow on file crosses the Taiwan Strait, so no country has a shortfall day to show here. The scenario case reads the extra voyage days instead.
Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.
General research, not advice. Request a free pilot
The Atlas tool and the briefing exist for the Strait of Hormuz only; for this strait they are in preparation.
In short No oil flow on file crosses the Taiwan Strait, so no volumes are shown; ships routed east of Taiwan add up to 3 days. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.
The Taiwan Strait in the Network map
Suppliers, the strait and buyers on one map, good by good, with the Stock Clock.
Every figure on this page carries its source, its year and a link; figures from 2023 or older carry an amber mark. Route shares are modelled estimates on cited figures. The days in “Who runs short first” are read from the precomputed cases the network map and the scenario pages use; nothing is added across goods, late cargo is never added to lost cargo, and the EU (27) is never added to its members. The forecast box shows our register’s words and estimates unchanged, each scored when it resolves.
Cite this page Strature, “Taiwan Strait”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/chokepoints/taiwan-strait/, 31 Oct 2026.