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Strature GPS · Outlook

Country outlooks on one map

Our outlook to October 2027 for 96 countries and the EU in seven categories, each level approved by the Principal; 209 of 679 levels approved so far. How they are set

This page answers: Where do the country outlooks stand, and how do countries compare?

Using this page
  1. Pick a category to colour the map, or read the list below it.
  2. Tap a country for its level and index, then add it to compare. With a keyboard, use the list or the country menu.
  3. Download the table as a CSV, with its sources and dates.

Map Geopolitics and conflict

  • Low 1
  • Elevated 10
  • High 7
  • Severe 5
  • Not yet set 74
  • No outlook page
209 of 679 levels set across the seven categories, approved 17 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026. Source: Strature country outlooks (method). Map: Natural Earth 1:110m, Equal Earth projection; small places shown as dots. Country names imply no position on sovereignty.

“Not yet set” means no level is approved yet. Below: the list · compare countries · the CSV

The list

Every country with an outlook, by level. Index values: the Strature open-data index on 0–10, higher means more risk, built 16 Oct 2026 from the sources named on each country page and in the CSV; “partial” means some indicators have no data (how the index is built).

Geopolitics and conflict

Severe 5

  • Bahrain Index 5.4/10, range 4.3–6.5, partial
  • Iran Index 10.0/10, range 9.7–10.0, partial
  • Lebanon Index 8.1/10, range 6.8–9.4, partial
  • Sudan Index 8.8/10, range 7.6–9.9, partial
  • Yemen Index 9.4/10, range 9.0–9.8, partial

High 7

  • Iraq Index 8.6/10, range 8.0–9.2, partial
  • Jordan Index 4.0/10, range 2.7–5.2, partial
  • Kuwait Index 5.7/10, range 4.6–6.7, partial
  • Qatar Index 4.9/10, range 3.9–5.8, partial
  • Saudi Arabia Index 5.5/10, range 4.5–6.5, partial
  • Taiwan Index 5.2/10, range 4.1–6.4, partial
  • United Arab Emirates Index 5.3/10, range 4.3–6.3, partial

Elevated 10

  • China Index 2.1/10, range 0.7–3.5, partial
  • Egypt Index 3.1/10, range 1.5–4.8, partial
  • Eritrea Index 2.4/10, range 0.8–4.1, partial
  • Greece Index 1.5/10, range 0.1–2.9, partial
  • Japan Index 2.8/10, range 1.7–3.9, partial
  • Nepal Index 2.2/10, range 0.6–3.8, partial
  • Oman Index 5.5/10, range 4.5–6.5, partial
  • Philippines Index 7.1/10, range 6.2–8.0, partial
  • South Korea Index 1.3/10, range 0.1–2.5, partial
  • United States Index 2.5/10, range 1.0–4.0, partial

Low 1

  • Canada Index 1.2/10, range 0.0–2.5, partial

Not yet set 74

  • Algeria Index 2.8/10, range 1.3–4.4, partial
  • Argentina Index 2.0/10, range 0.7–3.3, partial
  • Australia Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • Austria Index 1.1/10, range 0.0–2.5, partial
  • Bangladesh Index 4.9/10, range 3.5–6.4, partial
  • Belgium Index 1.5/10, range 0.1–2.9, partial
  • Bermuda Index: not enough open data
  • Brazil Index 5.9/10, range 4.4–7.3, partial
  • Brunei Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.2, partial
  • Bulgaria Index 1.4/10, range 0.0–2.8, partial
  • Cambodia Index 5.7/10, range 4.8–6.6, partial
  • Cayman Islands Index: not enough open data
  • Chile Index 1.6/10, range 0.2–3.0, partial
  • Colombia Index 6.7/10, range 5.4–8.0, partial
  • Cuba Index 1.8/10, range 0.4–3.1, partial
  • Cyprus Index 1.6/10, range 0.3–3.0, partial
  • Czech Republic Index 0.9/10, range 0.0–2.1, partial
  • Denmark Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • Djibouti Index 2.5/10, range 0.9–4.1, partial
  • Ecuador Index 6.4/10, range 5.1–7.6, partial
  • Ethiopia Index 8.0/10, range 6.9–9.1, partial
  • Finland Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • France Index 2.3/10, range 1.1–3.6, partial
  • Germany Index 1.4/10, range 0.0–2.8, partial
  • Greenland Index: not enough open data
  • Hong Kong Index: not enough open data
  • Hungary Index 1.3/10, range 0.0–2.7, partial
  • India Index 5.8/10, range 4.4–7.3, partial
  • Indonesia Index 4.8/10, range 3.5–6.2, partial
  • Ireland Index 0.9/10, range 0.0–2.2, partial
  • Israel Index 9.5/10, range 9.1–9.9, partial
  • Italy Index 1.1/10, range 0.0–2.5, partial
  • Kazakhstan Index 4.4/10, range 3.2–5.6, partial
  • Kenya Index 5.6/10, range 4.4–6.7, partial
  • Lithuania Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • Luxembourg Index 0.6/10, range 0.0–1.8, partial
  • Madagascar Index 2.2/10, range 0.5–3.8, partial
  • Malawi Index 2.1/10, range 0.6–3.6, partial
  • Malaysia Index 2.2/10, range 0.8–3.5, partial
  • Mexico Index 7.4/10, range 5.6–9.2, partial
  • Morocco Index 3.1/10, range 1.7–4.5, partial
  • Mozambique Index 7.1/10, range 6.2–8.0, partial
  • Namibia Index 1.1/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • Netherlands Index 1.1/10, range 0.0–2.5, partial
  • New Zealand Index 0.6/10, range 0.0–1.8, partial
  • Nigeria Index 7.6/10, range 6.5–8.6, partial
  • Norway Index 0.9/10, range 0.0–2.1, partial
  • Pakistan Index 8.6/10, range 8.1–9.2, partial
  • Panama Index 1.5/10, range 0.1–2.9, partial
  • Peru Index 2.6/10, range 1.1–4.1, partial
  • Poland Index 1.3/10, range 0.1–2.6, partial
  • Portugal Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • Romania Index 1.6/10, range 0.2–3.1, partial
  • Russia Index 10.0/10, range 9.7–10.0, partial
  • Rwanda Index 2.3/10, range 1.1–3.6, partial
  • Serbia Index 2.3/10, range 0.7–3.8, partial
  • Singapore Index 0.5/10, range 0.0–1.7, partial
  • Slovakia Index 1.3/10, range 0.1–2.6, partial
  • Slovenia Index 1.0/10, range 0.0–2.3, partial
  • South Africa Index 3.8/10, range 2.2–5.3, partial
  • Spain Index 1.4/10, range 0.0–2.9, partial
  • Sri Lanka Index 2.0/10, range 0.5–3.5, partial
  • Sweden Index 1.3/10, range 0.1–2.6, partial
  • Switzerland Index 0.6/10, range 0.0–1.9, partial
  • Syria Index 9.4/10, range 8.8–10.0, partial
  • Tanzania Index 4.0/10, range 2.9–5.0, partial
  • Thailand Index 5.4/10, range 4.3–6.4, partial
  • Turkey Index 7.6/10, range 6.7–8.5, partial
  • Uganda Index 3.9/10, range 2.6–5.1, partial
  • United Kingdom Index 1.3/10, range 0.0–2.7, partial
  • Venezuela Index 4.7/10, range 3.2–6.2, partial
  • Vietnam Index 1.7/10, range 0.3–3.2, partial
  • Zimbabwe Index 2.8/10, range 1.1–4.5, partial
  • European Union No index for the EU: each member state has its own

Trade, tariffs and sanctions

Severe 1

  • Iran Index: not enough open data

High 5

Elevated 20

Low 11

Not yet set 60

Supply chains and chokepoints

Severe 3

  • Iran Index: not enough open data
  • Qatar Index: not enough open data
  • Yemen Index: not enough open data

High 26

Elevated 14

  • Bangladesh Index: not enough open data
  • Brazil Index: not enough open data
  • Canada Index: not enough open data
  • China Index: not enough open data
  • Eritrea Index: not enough open data
  • Greece Index: not enough open data
  • Jordan Index: not enough open data
  • Nepal Index: not enough open data
  • Norway Index: not enough open data
  • Oman Index: not enough open data
  • Taiwan Index: not enough open data
  • Turkey Index: not enough open data
  • United States Index: not enough open data
  • Vietnam Index: not enough open data

Low 14

Not yet set 40

Energy and resources

Severe 7

  • Bahrain Index: not enough open data
  • Bangladesh Index: not enough open data
  • Iran Index: not enough open data
  • Iraq Index: not enough open data
  • Malawi Index: not enough open data
  • Pakistan Index: not enough open data
  • Qatar Index: not enough open data

High 27

Elevated 26

Low 6

  • Argentina Index: not enough open data
  • Brazil Index: not enough open data
  • Brunei Index: not enough open data
  • Finland Index: not enough open data
  • Norway Index: not enough open data
  • Oman Index: not enough open data

Not yet set 31

Technology and cyber

High 1

Elevated 14

Low 6

Not yet set 76

Regulation and compliance

Severe 1

  • Iran Index 6.9/10, range 6.0–7.9, partial

Elevated 4

  • Canada Index 1.9/10, range 1.0–2.8, partial
  • China Index 4.8/10, range 4.0–5.7, partial
  • Oman Index 3.6/10, range 2.6–4.5, partial
  • United States Index 3.0/10, range 2.1–3.9, partial

Not yet set 92

  • Algeria Index 5.8/10, range 4.8–6.7, partial
  • Argentina Index 4.9/10, range 4.0–5.9, partial
  • Australia Index 1.6/10, range 0.7–2.5, partial
  • Austria Index 2.2/10, range 1.3–3.2, partial
  • Bahrain Index 3.7/10, range 2.5–4.8, partial
  • Bangladesh Index 6.3/10, range 5.3–7.2, partial
  • Belgium Index 2.3/10, range 1.4–3.2, partial
  • Bermuda Index 3.0/10, range 1.4–4.7, partial
  • Brazil Index 5.4/10, range 4.5–6.3, partial
  • Brunei Index 3.0/10, range 1.9–4.0, partial
  • Bulgaria Index 4.6/10, range 3.5–5.6, partial
  • Cambodia Index 6.3/10, range 5.2–7.4, partial
  • Cayman Islands Index 3.3/10, range 2.0–4.5, partial
  • Chile Index 3.1/10, range 2.3–4.0, partial
  • Colombia Index 5.2/10, range 4.3–6.1, partial
  • Cuba Index 6.6/10, range 5.6–7.7, partial
  • Cyprus Index 3.3/10, range 2.4–4.3, partial
  • Czech Republic Index 2.8/10, range 1.9–3.7, partial
  • Denmark Index 1.0/10, range 0.1–2.0, partial
  • Djibouti Index 6.3/10, range 5.3–7.2, partial
  • Ecuador Index 6.0/10, range 5.1–7.0, partial
  • Egypt Index 5.7/10, range 4.7–6.6, partial
  • Eritrea Index 7.9/10, range 6.9–8.8, partial
  • Ethiopia Index 5.8/10, range 5.0–6.6, partial
  • Finland Index 1.2/10, range 0.2–2.1, partial
  • France Index 2.7/10, range 1.8–3.5, partial
  • Germany Index 1.9/10, range 1.0–2.8, partial
  • Greece Index 4.0/10, range 3.1–4.9, partial
  • Greenland Index 2.2/10, range 0.8–3.5, partial
  • Hong Kong Index 2.0/10, range 1.1–3.0, partial
  • Hungary Index 4.3/10, range 3.4–5.2, partial
  • India Index 4.9/10, range 4.0–5.9, partial
  • Indonesia Index 5.0/10, range 3.9–6.0, partial
  • Iraq Index 6.7/10, range 5.7–7.8, partial
  • Ireland Index 1.8/10, range 0.9–2.7, partial
  • Israel Index 2.9/10, range 1.9–3.9, partial
  • Italy Index 3.5/10, range 2.6–4.4, partial
  • Japan Index 2.1/10, range 1.2–3.0, partial
  • Jordan Index 4.1/10, range 3.2–5.0, partial
  • Kazakhstan Index 4.9/10, range 4.0–5.9, partial
  • Kenya Index 5.6/10, range 4.6–6.6, partial
  • Kuwait Index 4.1/10, range 3.2–5.0, partial
  • Lebanon Index 6.4/10, range 5.4–7.5, partial
  • Lithuania Index 2.4/10, range 1.5–3.3, partial
  • Luxembourg Index 1.4/10, range 0.6–2.3, partial
  • Madagascar Index 6.3/10, range 5.3–7.2, partial
  • Malawi Index 5.5/10, range 4.4–6.5, partial
  • Malaysia Index 3.6/10, range 2.7–4.5, partial
  • Mexico Index 5.9/10, range 4.8–7.0, partial
  • Morocco Index 5.1/10, range 4.1–6.1, partial
  • Mozambique Index 6.4/10, range 5.4–7.3, partial
  • Namibia Index 4.3/10, range 3.3–5.2, partial
  • Nepal Index 5.7/10, range 4.6–6.7, partial
  • Netherlands Index 1.6/10, range 0.7–2.5, partial
  • New Zealand Index 1.3/10, range 0.5–2.2, partial
  • Nigeria Index 6.2/10, range 5.2–7.2, partial
  • Norway Index 1.4/10, range 0.4–2.3, partial
  • Pakistan Index 6.4/10, range 5.5–7.3, partial
  • Panama Index 5.2/10, range 4.1–6.2, partial
  • Peru Index 5.3/10, range 4.1–6.5, partial
  • Philippines Index 5.1/10, range 4.0–6.2, partial
  • Poland Index 3.2/10, range 2.4–4.1, partial
  • Portugal Index 3.2/10, range 2.3–4.1, partial
  • Qatar Index 3.1/10, range 2.2–4.0, partial
  • Romania Index 4.3/10, range 3.3–5.2, partial
  • Russia Index 6.6/10, range 5.7–7.6, partial
  • Rwanda Index 4.0/10, range 3.2–4.8, partial
  • Saudi Arabia Index 3.5/10, range 2.6–4.4, partial
  • Serbia Index 5.1/10, range 4.0–6.2, partial
  • Singapore Index 1.2/10, range 0.3–2.1, partial
  • Slovakia Index 4.1/10, range 3.1–5.0, partial
  • Slovenia Index 3.3/10, range 2.4–4.2, partial
  • South Africa Index 4.7/10, range 3.8–5.6, partial
  • South Korea Index 2.7/10, range 1.8–3.7, partial
  • Spain Index 3.5/10, range 2.5–4.4, partial
  • Sri Lanka Index 5.1/10, range 4.1–6.0, partial
  • Sudan Index 7.7/10, range 6.8–8.5, partial
  • Sweden Index 1.4/10, range 0.6–2.3, partial
  • Switzerland Index 1.4/10, range 0.4–2.3, partial
  • Syria Index 7.7/10, range 6.7–8.7, partial
  • Taiwan Index 2.4/10, range 1.5–3.4, partial
  • Tanzania Index 5.4/10, range 4.6–6.2, partial
  • Thailand Index 4.9/10, range 3.8–5.9, partial
  • Turkey Index 5.4/10, range 4.4–6.4, partial
  • Uganda Index 6.0/10, range 5.0–7.0, partial
  • United Arab Emirates Index 2.8/10, range 1.9–3.7, partial
  • United Kingdom Index 2.0/10, range 1.1–2.9, partial
  • Venezuela Index 8.0/10, range 7.1–8.8, partial
  • Vietnam Index 4.8/10, range 3.9–5.7, partial
  • Yemen Index 7.6/10, range 6.5–8.6, partial
  • Zimbabwe Index 6.8/10, range 5.9–7.8, partial
  • European Union No index for the EU: each member state has its own

Finance and markets

Not yet set 97

Compare up to 4 countries

The side-by-side view needs JavaScript. The list above and the CSV below carry every value.

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Download the CSV

One row per country and category: the level and the date it was approved, the index value, its range, its status and as-of date, the sources, and links to the method and the country page. The same data as this page, written at each build.

The outlook is our judgement; the index measures what open data show. Neither is advice, a credit rating or a travel advisory (what the outlook is not). General information, not advice.

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