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Hungary

1 question addressed in 1 published brief · Newest release 5 Oct 2026

This page answers: Which questions do our briefs address about Hungary?

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  • Region Europe · Central and Eastern Europe
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Hungary in our readings

No country reading includes Hungary yet. The questions our briefs address that name Hungary are in the full analyst view.

Country card

Energy and value chains

EXHIBIT T-1 · HUNGARY
Hungary imported 61.0% of the energy it used in 2024.
Each figure in its own unit; each figure's year is shown.
Net import dependence, all energy
61.0%2024 · share of the energy it used · our calculation, EIA data
Largest energy source
Oil, 38.9%2024 · share of primary energy use · our calculation, EIA data
Electricity mix
Nuclear, 40.0%2025 · share of electricity generated · EmberRenewables 35.3% The latest year is partly estimated by Ember.
Crude oil supplier concentration (HHI, 0–1)
0.762024 · index 0–1, EC line 0.40 · our calculation, Eurostat dataEC band: concentrated

Where Hungary sits in value chains

  • 65.8% of the value of its motor vehicle exports was made abroad (foreign value added).OECD TiVA · 2022
  • 66.4% of the value of its electronics exports was made abroad (foreign value added).OECD TiVA · 2022

The EU's position in value chains (Hungary is a member)

  • Design software and IP as part of the EU 25%BCG and SIA · 2022
  • Chipmaking equipment as part of the EU 18%BCG and SIA · 2022
  • Analog and other design as part of the EU 17%BCG and SIA · 2022

Shares as published, each with its own measure and period; never added across stages.

All stages on the value-chains page

SourceUS Energy Information Administration, EIA International Energy Data, energy balance by fuel (bulk INTL), all countries (Public domain (US federal work); credit EIA); Ember, Electricity data (yearly and monthly) (All of Ember's electricity data is fully open, CC BY 4.0.); Eurostat, Energy imports and exports by partner country (nrg_ti_* and nrg_te_*), all Eurostat energy reporters (CC BY 4.0; commercial reuse allowed with source credit.). Value chains: BCG and SIA (facts-only: Copyright BCG and SIA; single facts cited with attribution (read via reproduction by a government office)); OECD TiVA (open: OECD, CC BY 4.0 (TiVA 2025 edition; third-party material excluded)). Shares and the index: our calculation from these figures.How to read this plateEach figure carries its own year and unit; they sit side by side and are never added into one score. Supplier concentration: 0 = many small suppliers, 1 = one supplier; the European Commission draws a line at 0.40.
Exhibit T-1 · Hungary · strature.net

The supply balance, good by good, is under Goods and chokepoints.

Outlook to October 2027

  • Geopolitics and conflict Not yet set
  • Trade, tariffs and sanctions Not yet set
  • Supply chains and chokepoints Not yet set
  • Energy and resources Not yet set
  • Technology and cyber Not yet set
  • Regulation and compliance Not yet set
  • Finance and markets Not yet set
The seven outlooks in full: why, and the index

Seven categories, 12 months ahead. The outlook is our judgement, approved by the Principal. The index measures open data on 0–10; higher means more risk. How they are set

  • Geopolitics and conflict

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    1.3 /10range 0.0–2.7 partial

    First published October 2026: no earlier range to compare, so no arrow.

    Data: European Commission Joint Research Centre (INFORM), INFORM Risk; Natural Earth; Strature, forecast register; Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP battle deaths; Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP event data; World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators

  • Trade, tariffs and sanctions

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    Not enough open data for an index score.

  • Supply chains and chokepoints

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    Not enough open data for an index score.

  • Energy and resources

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    Not enough open data for an index score.

  • Technology and cyber

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    Not enough open data for an index score.

  • Regulation and compliance

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    4.3 /10range 3.4–5.2 partial

    First published October 2026: no earlier range to compare, so no arrow.

    Data: World Bank, Worldwide Governance Indicators

  • Finance and markets

    Outlook

    Not yet set

    Index

    Not enough open data for an index score.

Compare Hungary on the outlook map

Dates for Hungary on the risk calendar

Who runs short first is not shown for Hungary: no Hormuz shipping volume (tonnes or barrels) for it is on file, and the scenario cases need one.

Goods and chokepoints

Exhibit S-1 · Supply balance

How much Hungary makes, buys and sells, good by good

Consumption = production + imports − exports (± stock change).
Reading the supply balance

Supply balance first, suppliers second.

One card per good, each in its own unit. Goods are never added together.

Each card shows the latest complete period: the newest with consumption and at least one of production, imports and exports on file.

Figures of 1,000 kb/d or more show in million barrels a day (mb/d).

Full analyst view

Open Hungary on the map of brief questions

Dependency profile

Country card · Hungary

Chokepoints. The Energy and Value-chain strips appear here as each is approved for Hungary.

Chokepoints

Not enough open data
Modelled shares by strait (Strature route model)
  • Crude oil, 2025: Bab el-Mandeb 25% · Suez 25% · Malacca 25% · Turkish Straits 18% (the route model covers 93% of its named imports) modelled
  • Refined fuels, 2024: Suez 10% · Hormuz 7.5% · Bab el-Mandeb 7.5% · Panama 0.1% (the route model covers 100% of its named imports) modelled

Not on file

  • A cited share of imports through Hormuz
  • Import dependence
  • Oil stocks in days
  • A headline line
  • Supply routes into it

Dashed underline = low confidence.

Flows as of 2025, measured moves 2Q 2026; each figure shows its own period.

Sources in this profile

Tap any number for its source, period, licence and confidence. Modelled shares come from Strature’s route model, not from a cited figure.

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    Map: Natural Earth, with Crimea drawn as part of Ukraine. Boundaries as drawn by the source; no position on any dispute is implied. Country and territory names follow common usage and imply no position on sovereignty. We say “the Gulf” for the sea also called the Persian Gulf or the Arabian Gulf. Routes are modelled, not ship tracks; not for navigation.

    No data provider endorses Strature or this page, and none is affiliated with us. Company shares, where shown, are as published by the named source; naming a company is not a view on it or its securities. Research, not advice.

    Questions our briefs address

    Questions our briefs address

    The questions our published briefs address that touch Hungary.

    Filter the questions Domain · Series · Topic
    Domain Series Topic

    Where Hungary acts · 1 question

    Decision Brief · Q-027 · 1 questionBeyond CETA: what the EU relationship adds, and when exporters should commit
    Geopolitical · Geoeconomic
    How many member states still have not ratified CETA, nine years on?

    “France and Italy are among 10 member states that have not ratified CETA, 9 years after it began to apply. For exporters, today's terms keep running, but any access beyond them waits on those votes.”

    The brief’s reading of the evidence; not a registered forecast.
    Primary Canada Affected Belgium +8
    CanadaBelgiumBulgariaCyprusFranceGreeceIrelandItalyPolandSlovenia

    What it says about HungaryActor: takes the action

    “the same 10 as not: Belgium, Bulgaria, Cyprus, France, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Poland and Slovenia”

    From the brief
    Read the section: 06 · Ten member states still have not ratified CETA after nine years.

    Each answer is quoted verbatim from the brief, and so is each sentence under “What it says”; anything labelled “Context, not from the brief” comes from the public source named beside it. Answers with a register ID are our estimates, scored when they resolve; the others are the brief’s reading of the evidence, not forecasts.

    Regions in these questions Europe · North America

    ISO 3166-1 name: Hungary (HUN). Country and territory names follow common usage and imply no position on sovereignty.

    Published briefs

    Briefs with Hungary as their subject.

    No published brief has Hungary as its subject yet; the questions above name it in another role.

    Forecast register

    Forecasts on the register attached to the questions above.

    Each is our estimate, scored when it resolves. Published briefs only; the full register lists every one.

    No registered forecast is attached to these questions yet.

    The forecast register

    Free downloads

    The summary sheet and the executive read are free.

    The full brief is supplied to organisations through the request form on the brief’s page: they accept its terms and confirm a work email, and it is free during the introductory period.

    General research for general circulation; not investment, legal or tax advice and not tailored to any reader. Every probability is our estimate, scored when it resolves.

    Sources and licences

    No figure on this page yet.

    Cite this page Strature, “Hungary”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/hun/, 31 Oct 2026.

    • General research, not advice.
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