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Your exposure · Country · Middle East and North Africa

Algeria

Canada supplies 25.4% of Algeria's iron ore imports, the Medium band, and Algeria buys 5.8% of Canada's wheat exports. Canada's iron ore, wheat and pulse sales there reached US$0.77bn in 2025. Approved reading

This page answers: Which questions do our briefs address about Algeria?

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  • Region Middle East and North Africa · North Africa
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Your exposure

Algeria in our readings

Algeria is in 1 of our country readings.

  • US tariffs and Canada Medium

Each band as published in its reading, against that reading’s stated lines; the readings are never combined into one band.

Outlook to October 2027

  • Geopolitics and conflict Not yet set
  • Trade, tariffs and sanctions Low
  • Supply chains and chokepoints Low
  • Energy and resources Not yet set
  • Technology and cyber Not yet set
  • Regulation and compliance Not yet set
  • Finance and markets Not yet set
The seven outlooks in full: why, and the index

Seven categories, 12 months ahead. The outlook is our judgement, approved by the Principal. The index measures open data on 0–10; higher means more risk. How they are set

Compare Algeria on the outlook map

Dates for Algeria on the risk calendar

Key questions (1)
The other side: 1 line from our readings and register

General information, not advice.

Risks that reach Algeria

  • US tariffs and Canada Medium

    • F-0173 · A lasting break: the old lockstep does not return - US tariffs on Canadian goods above their 2024 level on 30 Sep 2027, re-scored after 20 Jan 2029 · 92%, our estimate, scored when it resolves · resolves by 30 Sep 2027 · Open · brief C-006

    US tariffs and Canada

Each forecast is our estimate, scored when it resolves, in the register’s own words.

Goods and chokepoints

Exhibit S-1 · Supply balance

How much Algeria makes, buys and sells, good by good

Consumption = production + imports − exports (± stock change).
Reading the supply balance

Supply balance first, suppliers second.

One card per good, each in its own unit. Goods are never added together.

Each card shows the latest complete period: the newest with consumption and at least one of production, imports and exports on file.

Figures of 1,000 kb/d or more show in million barrels a day (mb/d).

Periods are marketing years, as published.

What to watch

  • 4 Nov and 8 Dec 2026 Canadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods from 19 Aug 2026. US tariffs and Canada
  • Monthly Canadian iron ore and wheat exports by destination. US tariffs and Canada
  • 30 Sep 2027 F-0173 resolves: whether the US-Canada break lasts. US tariffs and Canada

Questions firms in this position often review

  • Which of the risks above reach our own suppliers, customers or assets in Algeria?
  • Which of the forecasts above bear on our plans in Algeria, and which outcome would change them?
  • Which dated items under What to watch fall inside our next planning cycle?

General research, not advice. Request a free pilot

Full analyst view

Open Algeria on the map of brief questions

Country analysis

Questions our briefs address

The questions our published briefs address that touch Algeria.

US tariffs and Canada · Strature analysis, not from the brief

US tariffs and Canada: what is at stake for Algeria

Canada supplies 25.4% of Algeria's iron ore imports, the Medium band, and Algeria buys 5.8% of Canada's wheat exports. Canada's iron ore, wheat and pulse sales there reached US$0.77bn in 2025.

Theme band Medium

25.4%

Iron ore imports supplied by Canada (2024)

5.8%

Share of Canada's wheat exports (2025)

US$0.77bn

Canada's iron ore, wheat and pulse sales, US$bn (2025)

Read the full panel

Risks

  • Algeria bought US$0.27bn of its US$1.06bn of iron ore from Canada in 2024, so a supply break at Canadian mines or ports would reach its steel plants.
  • Wheat is the largest of the three measured Canadian sales to Algeria, US$467.4m in 2025, so a poor Canadian crop would be felt there.
  • In our judgement, ore prices and Canadian rail or port disruption, not US tariffs, are the nearer risks to these flows.

Opportunities

  • If the US-Canada break lasts (F-0173), more Canadian ore and grain could go to buyers such as Algeria.
  • Algeria bought US$0.79bn of iron ore from other origins in 2024: room for Canadian supply.

Uncertainties

  • Algeria's wheat dependence on Canada was not measured here; Algeria has not reported its 2025 imports by origin to the international trade statistics.
  • Algeria is not covered by the export-share data used for the Canada-as-market channel.

What to watch

  • 4 Nov and 8 Dec 2026Canadian trade data for September and October, the first full months under the 50% US duty on listed Canadian goods from 19 Aug 2026.
  • MonthlyCanadian iron ore and wheat exports by destination.
  • 30 Sep 2027F-0173 resolves: whether the US-Canada break lasts.

Exposure by channel

Exposure band per channel, with the figure and the published line
ChannelFigureBandPublished line
Supply from Canada (iron ore)Dependence25.4% of imports of the good 2024Canada's share of the country's imports of iron ore (HS 2601)MediumHigh ≥50% · Medium 25–50%

Bands follow the published materiality lines for this theme. A low-confidence figure alone caps a band at Medium.

Canada's iron ore, wheat and pulse sales to Algeria, 2025 (US$bn)
Canada's wheat (HS 1001) exports to Algeria: US$0.47bn (2025)Wheat0.47Canada's iron ore (HS 2601) exports to Algeria: US$0.26bn (2025)Iron ore0.26Canada's pulse (HS 0713) exports to Algeria: US$0.04bn (2025)Pulse0.04

Drawn to scale from zero. Source: UN Comtrade (public API), Canada's exports by partner, as reported by Canada.

Briefs and questions

  • C-006 F-0173 US tariffs still above their 2024 level (lasting break), 92%, our estimate, scored when it resolves.

Sources cited

Our calculations

  • Canada's iron ore, wheat and pulse exports to Algeria: US$0.77bn (= sum of the three flows)
  • Algeria's iron ore imports from origins other than Canada: US$0.79bn (= Algeria's iron ore imports, all origins - from Canada)

Strature analysis, not from the brief: researched by Strature from public sources and kept in our country dossier, updated 26 Oct 2026. General research, not advice. Who else is exposed: US tariffs and Canada →

Strature analysis, not from the brief

Algeria: what passes the strait

Not a Hormuz exporter: its pipeline gas deliveries to Spain and Italy rose in early 2026, while its LNG exports were slightly lower.

Route shares are modelled estimates; each figure carries its source. General research, not advice.

Open on the Hormuz page The briefing

ISO 3166-1 name: Algeria (DZA). Country and territory names follow common usage and imply no position on sovereignty.

Sources and licences

No figure on this page yet.

Cite this page Strature, “Algeria”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/dza/, 31 Oct 2026.

  • General research, not advice.
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