Refined fuels

Basis: observed (reported by the buyer), mirror (reported by the supplier) or cited (a published figure). Volumes are shown in the one unit the pack uses for this good and are never added. Rows to the EU (27) show on the switch.

1. Canada 0.63Source [8] 2025, above the line.
2. EU (27) 0.01Source [9] 2024, below the line.
3. France 0.08Source [9] 2024, below the line.
4. Germany 0.32Source [9] 2024, below the line.
5. Japan 0.16Source [10] 2025, below the line.
6. United States 0.14Source [11] 2025, below the line.

Supplier concentration of each buyer’s imports (HHI, 0 = many small suppliers, 1 = one supplier), the latest year on file, as the Energy view computes it. The European Commission draws a line at 0.40. The EU (27) is a bloc, on the switch, never added to its members.

• The Energy view → every fuel, every year on file, with each country’s import dependence
• The Network map → suppliers, straits and buyers on one map, good by good, with the Stock Clock

• Strait of Hormuz closed, restricted or unsafe

  In short In a 30-day closure some oil never arrives at all: of the economies shown, China loses the most, 310-317 million barrels. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• Red Sea: half of traffic avoids Bab el-Mandeb for 90 days

  In short Going round the Cape for 90 days loses nothing on lanes with a cited Cape route: 55 million barrels of the economies shown arrive late, most of it the EU's. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• Strait of Malacca closed for 14 days

  In short Closing the Strait of Malacca causes delay, not loss: ships go by Lombok and Makassar, about 3 days longer. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

• S-001 Iran and the Strait of Hormuz: a scenario brief

Every figure on this page carries its source, its year and a link; figures from 2023 or older carry an amber mark. The flows are the Strature network pack (approved, independently re-checked); a good has its own page when the pack carries ten or more flows for it. Shares are as published and never added; volumes stay in the one unit the pack uses for the good and are never added across goods. Routes are modelled main routes. The days in “Who runs short first” are read from the precomputed cases the network map and the scenario pages use; late cargo is never added to lost cargo, and the EU (27) is never added to its members. The forecast box shows our register’s words and estimates unchanged, each scored when it resolves.

1. [1] Energy Intelligence, 2025
2. [2] Share of Japan's refined fuels imports from Saudi Arabia. Ministry of Finance Japan / e-Stat, 2025
3. [3] Share of Canada's refined fuels imports from Kuwait. Statistics Canada, 2025
4. [4] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. Eurostat, 2025
5. [5] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. DESNZ (UK government), 2025
6. [6] Eurostat, 2025
7. [7] US Energy Information Administration, 2025
8. [8] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from StatCan, 2025
9. [9] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from Eurostat, 2024
10. [10] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from Japan MOF, 2025
11. [11] Supplier concentration (HHI, 0 to 1). Strature calculation from EIA, 2025

Cite this page Strature, “Refined fuels”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/goods/refined-fuels/, 31 Oct 2026.