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32 flows of rice on file; the strait most of their modelled routes pass is Bab el-Mandeb (28 of 32).

This page answers: Who supplies whom with this good, which straits does it pass, and who runs short first?

Using this page
  1. Read the short version: who supplies whom, the straits it passes and who runs short first.
  2. Tap a country for its page, or a strait for its page.
  3. Choose Full analyst view for the flow ledger, the sources and the method.
Link to this page

Supply balance

Exhibit S-1 · Supply balance
How much each country makes, buys and sells
Consumption = production + imports − exports (± stock change).
Reading the supply balance

Supply balance first, suppliers second.

Each card shows the latest complete period: the newest with consumption and at least one of production, imports and exports on file. The table also keeps the newest period where it is partial.

Shown in million tonnes, milled.

Marketing years as USDA publishes them (for example 2024/25).

Periods are marketing years, as published.

Shown first: the two largest net importers and the two largest net exporters on file, latest complete period.

Philippines

2026/27 · MtNET IMPORTER
Production12.1 Mt
Imports5.6 Mt
Exports0 Mt
Consumption17.8 Mt
Net import dependence
31.5% estimate
Via a strait, share of use
not on file
Stocks cover
not on file

USDA estimate, may change

In 2026/27, the Philippines imported 5.6 Mt and produced 12.1 Mt. Net imports met 31.5% of its use.

estimate Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service

Nigeria

2026/27 · MtNET IMPORTER
Production5.67 Mt
Imports2.9 Mt
Exports0 Mt
Consumption8.8 Mt
Net import dependence
33% estimate
Via a strait, share of use
not on file
Stocks cover
not on file

USDA estimate, may change

In 2026/27, Nigeria imported 2.9 Mt and produced 5.67 Mt. Net imports met 33% of its use.

estimate Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service

India

2026/27 · MtNET EXPORTER
Production147 Mt
Imports0 Mt
Exports24 Mt
Consumption125 Mt
Net import dependence
none (net producer) estimate
Via a strait, share of use
not on file
Stocks cover
not on file

USDA estimate, may change

In 2026/27, India produced 147 Mt and used 125 Mt. It exported 24 Mt and imported 0 Mt.

estimate Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service

Thailand

2026/27 · MtNET EXPORTER
Production20.3 Mt
Imports0.05 Mt
Exports7.5 Mt
Consumption12.8 Mt
Net import dependence
none (net producer) estimate
Via a strait, share of use
not on file
Stocks cover
not on file

USDA estimate, may change

In 2026/27, Thailand produced 20.3 Mt and used 12.8 Mt. It exported 7.5 Mt and imported 0.05 Mt.

estimate Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service

SourceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service (U.S. Government work, public domain (17 U.S.C. 105); Data.gov lists CC BY 4.0.).Reading this plateEach bar is one figure in the row's own unit, scaled to the largest of the four. A hollow bar is worked out from the other three, not reported. The accent marks the selected country.
Exhibit S-1 · Rice · strature.net
Exhibit S-2 · Map
Rice: net import dependence, country by country
Rice (milled) · Colour: net import dependence, latest complete period on file. Tap a country for its balance.
Skip the map

The map needs JavaScript. Every country is in the table below.

Colour: net import dependence, latest complete period on file. Tap a country for its balance.

SourceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service (U.S. Government work, public domain (17 U.S.C. 105); Data.gov lists CC BY 4.0.); Statistics Canada (Statistics Canada Open Licence: commercial and non-commercial use with credit.); Eurostat (CC BY 4.0; commercial reuse allowed with source credit.).
Exhibit S-2 · Rice · strature.net
Exhibit S-3 · Over time
Philippines: production, trade and use over time
Hover, tap or focus a point for its value, period, grade and source.

Rice (milled) · million tonnes

051015202015/162017/182019/202021/222023/242026/27Production · 2015/16: 11 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2016/17: 11.7 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2017/18: 12.2 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2018/19: 11.7 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2019/20: 11.9 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2020/21: 12.4 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2021/22: 12.5 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2022/23: 12.6 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2023/24: 12.3 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2024/25: 12.4 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2025/26: 12.3 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProduction · 2026/27: 12.1 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2015/16: 1.6 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2016/17: 1.1 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2017/18: 1.3 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2018/19: 3.6 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2019/20: 2.45 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2020/21: 2.2 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2021/22: 3.6 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2022/23: 3.75 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2023/24: 4.5 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2024/25: 5.42 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2025/26: 4.35 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceImports · 2026/27: 5.6 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2015/16: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2016/17: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2017/18: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2018/19: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2019/20: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2020/21: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2021/22: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2022/23: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2023/24: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2024/25: 0 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2025/26: 0 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceExports · 2026/27: 0 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2015/16: 13.1 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2016/17: 13.3 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2017/18: 13.5 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2018/19: 14.2 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2019/20: 14.4 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2020/21: 14.8 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2021/22: 15.4 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2022/23: 16.1 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2023/24: 16.8 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2024/25: 17.5 Mt · High confidence · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2025/26: 17.7 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceConsumption · 2026/27: 17.8 Mt · High confidence · estimate · Source: US Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural ServiceProductionImportsExportsConsumption
SourceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service (U.S. Government work, public domain (17 U.S.C. 105); Data.gov lists CC BY 4.0.).
Exhibit S-3 · Rice · strature.net
Exhibit S-4 · Every figure
Every figure, as a table
Every figure: the latest complete period per country, and the newest where it is partial. Scroll sideways inside the table on a phone.
CountryPeriodProductionImportsExportsConsumptionNet import dependenceGradeSource
Afghanistan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.29 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.39 Mt estimate25.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Algeria2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Angola2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.03 Mt estimate0.55 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.58 Mt estimate94.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Argentina2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.71 Mt estimate0.005 Mt estimate0.3 Mt estimate0.51 Mt estimate-57.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Armenia2016/170 Mt0.001 Mt0 Mt0.001 Mt100%High confidenceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Australia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.1 Mt estimate0.3 Mt estimate0.08 Mt estimate0.4 Mt estimate55% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Azerbaijan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.01 Mt estimate0.06 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate85.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Bangladesh2026/27 USDA estimate, may change36.9 Mt estimate1.3 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate38.8 Mt estimate3.3% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Belarus2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Benin2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.33 Mt estimate0.4 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.73 Mt estimate54.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Bolivia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.41 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.44 Mt estimate5.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Bosnia and Herzegovina2016/170 Mt0.005 Mt0 Mt0.005 Mt100%High confidenceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Show every figure (118 rows)
CountryPeriodProductionImportsExportsConsumptionNet import dependenceGradeSource
Brazil2026/27 USDA estimate, may change7.4 Mt estimate0.95 Mt estimate1.4 Mt estimate7.3 Mt estimate-6.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Brunei2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.001 Mt estimate0.04 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate97.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Burkina Faso2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.32 Mt estimate0.8 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.2 Mt estimate66.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Burma2026/27 USDA estimate, may change11 Mt estimate0.005 Mt estimate2.1 Mt estimate9.1 Mt estimate-23% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Cambodia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change8 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate3.6 Mt estimate4.58 Mt estimate-77.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Cameroon2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.25 Mt estimate0.6 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.85 Mt estimate70.9% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Canada2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.5 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0.47 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Chad2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.25 Mt estimate0.005 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.25 Mt estimate2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Chile2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.08 Mt estimate0.23 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.29 Mt estimate76.3% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
China2026/27 USDA estimate, may change147 Mt estimate3.5 Mt estimate2.2 Mt estimate147 Mt estimate0.9% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Colombia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.93 Mt estimate0.22 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate2.02 Mt estimate8.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Costa Rica2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.04 Mt estimate0.26 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0.27 Mt estimate87% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Cuba2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.04 Mt estimate0.42 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.47 Mt estimate91.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
DR Congo2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.2 Mt estimate0.4 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.6 Mt estimate25% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Djibouti2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Dominican Republic2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.67 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate0.74 Mt estimate2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
EU (27)2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.73 Mt estimate2.35 Mt estimate0.41 Mt estimate3.7 Mt estimate52.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Ecuador2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.1 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate1.15 Mt estimate0% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Egypt2026/27 USDA estimate, may change4.1 Mt estimate0.2 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate4.17 Mt estimate1.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
El Salvador2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.003 Mt estimate0.12 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate105% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Ethiopia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.2 Mt estimate0.5 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.69 Mt estimate71.9% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Gambia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.04 Mt estimate0.35 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.38 Mt estimate92.1% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Ghana2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.93 Mt estimate0.9 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.95 Mt estimate46.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Guatemala2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.02 Mt estimate0.13 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate87.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Guinea2026/27 USDA estimate, may change2.46 Mt estimate1.15 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate3.5 Mt estimate30% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Guinea-Bissau2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.14 Mt estimate0.25 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.4 Mt estimate62.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Guyana2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.68 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.45 Mt estimate0.24 Mt estimate-184% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Haiti2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.05 Mt estimate0.52 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.56 Mt estimate92.9% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Honduras2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.01 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate0.16 Mt estimate87.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Hong Kong2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.3 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.3 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
India2026/27 USDA estimate, may change147 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate24 Mt estimate125 Mt estimate-19.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Indonesia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change33.6 Mt estimate0.5 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate35 Mt estimate1.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Iran2026/27 USDA estimate, may change2 Mt estimate0.9 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate3.05 Mt estimate29.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Iraq2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.23 Mt estimate1.9 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate2.15 Mt estimate88.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Israel2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.19 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.19 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Ivory Coast2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.75 Mt estimate1.7 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate3.5 Mt estimate47.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Jamaica2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Japan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change7.37 Mt estimate0.7 Mt estimate0.08 Mt estimate7.95 Mt estimate7.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Jordan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.27 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.27 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Kazakhstan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.27 Mt estimate0.31 Mt estimate0.13 Mt estimate0.45 Mt estimate40% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Kenya2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.23 Mt estimate0.8 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.1 Mt estimate72.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Kuwait2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.22 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.22 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Kyrgyzstan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Laos2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.97 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate1.95 Mt estimate-1.3% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Lebanon2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Liberia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.21 Mt estimate0.42 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.65 Mt estimate65.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Libya2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.22 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.22 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Madagascar2026/27 USDA estimate, may change2.69 Mt estimate0.85 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate3.54 Mt estimate24% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Malawi2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Malaysia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.65 Mt estimate1.6 Mt estimate0.12 Mt estimate3.1 Mt estimate47.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Mali2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.95 Mt estimate0.42 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate2.4 Mt estimate17.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Mauritania2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.3 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.35 Mt estimate14.1% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Mauritius2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Mexico2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.16 Mt estimate0.85 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate1.02 Mt estimate82.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Morocco2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.06 Mt estimate0.16 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.21 Mt estimate74.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Mozambique2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.12 Mt estimate1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.12 Mt estimate89% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Nepal2026/27 USDA estimate, may change3.9 Mt estimate0.7 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate4.6 Mt estimate15.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
New Zealand2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Nicaragua2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.27 Mt estimate0.16 Mt estimate0.005 Mt estimate0.43 Mt estimate36% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Niger2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.11 Mt estimate0.33 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.44 Mt estimate74.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Nigeria2026/27 USDA estimate, may change5.67 Mt estimate2.9 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate8.8 Mt estimate33% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
North Korea2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.48 Mt estimate0.02 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.5 Mt estimate1.3% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
North Macedonia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Oman2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.38 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.37 Mt estimate101% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Pakistan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change9.4 Mt estimate0.02 Mt estimate4.8 Mt estimate4.7 Mt estimate-102% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Panama2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.23 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.33 Mt estimate30.3% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Papua New Guinea2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Paraguay2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.97 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.95 Mt estimate0.04 Mt estimate-2,714% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Peru2026/27 USDA estimate, may change2.4 Mt estimate0.17 Mt estimate0.02 Mt estimate2.58 Mt estimate5.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Philippines2026/27 USDA estimate, may change12.1 Mt estimate5.6 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate17.8 Mt estimate31.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Qatar2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.2 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.2 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Russia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.57 Mt estimate0.23 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0.93 Mt estimate21.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Rwanda2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Réunion2022/230 Mt0.03 Mt0 Mt0.03 Mt100%High confidenceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Saudi Arabia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate1.8 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.8 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Senegal2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.67 Mt estimate1.4 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate2.02 Mt estimate66.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Sierra Leone2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.88 Mt estimate0.45 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.33 Mt estimate33.8% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Singapore2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.53 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.53 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Somalia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.001 Mt estimate0.7 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.7 Mt estimate99.9% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
South Africa2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate1.25 Mt estimate0.2 Mt estimate1.02 Mt estimate102% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
South Korea2026/27 USDA estimate, may change3.49 Mt estimate0.41 Mt estimate0.17 Mt estimate3.77 Mt estimate6.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Sri Lanka2026/27 USDA estimate, may change3.35 Mt estimate0.2 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate3.55 Mt estimate5.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Sudan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Suriname2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.15 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.09 Mt estimate0.07 Mt estimate-121% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Swaziland2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Switzerland2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.11 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.11 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Syria2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.17 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate110% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Taiwan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1.05 Mt estimate0.12 Mt estimate0.12 Mt estimate1.05 Mt estimate-1% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Tajikistan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Tanzania2026/27 USDA estimate, may change2.4 Mt estimate0.5 Mt estimate0.15 Mt estimate2.75 Mt estimate12.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Thailand2026/27 USDA estimate, may change20.3 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate7.5 Mt estimate12.8 Mt estimate-58.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Togo2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.12 Mt estimate0.28 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.4 Mt estimate69.6% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Trinidad and Tobago2022/230.001 Mt0.03 Mt0 Mt0.03 Mt96.8%High confidenceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Turkey2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.58 Mt estimate0.45 Mt estimate0.23 Mt estimate0.82 Mt estimate27.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Turkmenistan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.06 Mt estimate0.001 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.06 Mt estimate1.7% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Uganda2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.24 Mt estimate0.05 Mt estimate0.01 Mt estimate0.28 Mt estimate14.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Ukraine2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.007 Mt estimate0.1 Mt estimate0.005 Mt estimate0.11 Mt estimate93.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
United Arab Emirates2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate1.05 Mt estimate95.2% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
United Kingdom2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.72 Mt estimate0.03 Mt estimate0.68 Mt estimate103% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
United States2026/27 USDA estimate, may change5.01 Mt estimate1.58 Mt estimate2.48 Mt estimate4.7 Mt estimate-19.1% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Uruguay2026/27 USDA estimate, may change1 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.97 Mt estimate0.06 Mt estimate-1,773% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Uzbekistan2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.24 Mt estimate0.08 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.34 Mt estimate23.5% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Venezuela2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0.37 Mt estimate0.38 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.73 Mt estimate51% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Vietnam2026/27 USDA estimate, may change26.1 Mt estimate3.6 Mt estimate8.1 Mt estimate22.1 Mt estimate-20.4% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Yemen2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0.78 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0.78 Mt estimate100% estimateHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service
Zambia2026/27 USDA estimate, may change0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimate0 Mt estimatenot on fileHigh confidence estimateUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service

Marks: Low confidence (a less certain source, shown with its source) and estimate (the source's own estimate). Not on file: no figure published.

Download CSV

The CSV holds every figure in the table, every period on file.

SourceUS Department of Agriculture, Foreign Agricultural Service (U.S. Government work, public domain (17 U.S.C. 105); Data.gov lists CC BY 4.0.).
Exhibit S-4 · Rice · strature.net

Who buys, who sells

Buyers on file and their suppliers

  1. EU (27)
  2. Germany inside the EU (27) figure, never added to it
  3. France inside the EU (27) figure, never added to it
  4. Canada
    • India share not on file
    • Pakistan share not on file
  5. Belgium
  6. Greece
  7. India
    • Canada share not on file

6 of 10 buyers on file, most suppliers first; every flow is in the flow ledger. Each share is the supplier’s share of that buyer’s imports of this good, as published (one unit, per cent); shares are never added. The EU (27) is a bloc, on the switch, never added to its members. Records whose every figure is zero stay in the ledger only.

Suppliers on file

  1. India 5 buyers on file
  2. Pakistan 5 buyers on file
  3. Burma 4 buyers on file
  4. Cambodia 2 buyers on file
  5. Thailand 2 buyers on file
  6. Vietnam 2 buyers on file

Suppliers by the number of buyers on file (countries; the EU (27) not counted). A count of records, not a measure of volume.

Straits it passes

  • Bab el-Mandeb

    28 of the 32 flows on file pass it on their modelled route

  • Suez Canal

    28 of the 32 flows on file pass it on their modelled route

  • Strait of Malacca

    16 of the 32 flows on file pass it on their modelled route

  • Strait of Hormuz

    1 of the 32 flows on file pass it on their modelled route

    Cited shares of a country’s imports that pass it:

    1. Brazil 0–0%Source [3]

Counts are counts of flow records (records whose every figure is zero left out). Routes are modelled main routes, not ship tracks; a share is shown only where a source gives it.

If a strait closes

Who runs short first

Case: Strait of Hormuz closed, restricted or unsafe. For each country, the day on file when its supply shortfall begins for this good, or, where nothing runs short, when its late-arrival gap begins.

1 of the 1 countries on file for this good reach a supply shortfall in this case; the first to run short are listed first.

  1. Germany supply shortfall begins: day 19

    first day with cargo lost (no stock record on file)

Days as on file in the precomputed case “Strait of Hormuz closed for 30 days” (Strature network pack, the network map’s default settings). Day 0 is the first day of the closure; the shaded part of each line is the closure (30 days); each line runs to day 120.

Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

Forecasts in our register

Our register asks no question about this good alone. The forecast register

Full analyst view

The flow ledger

Every flow on file
Supplier → buyerYearBasisShare of the buyer’s importsVolumeStraits on the modelled routeConfidence
Burma → Belgium2025cited32.8%Source [2]–Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
India → Canada2025observed–119,700 t/yrSource [4]Strait of Malaccahigh
Pakistan → Canada2025observed–16,400 t/yrSource [4]Strait of Malaccahigh
American Samoa → EU (27)2025observed–0.001 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Burma → EU (27)2025observed13.4%Source [1]548,300 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Cambodia → EU (27)2025observed13.98%Source [1]317,800 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
China → EU (27)2025observed0.748%Source [1]23,400 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
India → EU (27)2025observed23.32%Source [1]444,500 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Lao People's Democratic Republic → EU (27)2025observed0.277%Source [1]7,424 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Pakistan → EU (27)2025observed14.2%Source [1]263,300 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Thailand → EU (27)2025observed11.72%Source [1]222,200 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Vietnam → EU (27)2025observed3.508%Source [1]80,380 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Burma → France2025observed2.435%Source [1]11,850 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Cambodia → France2025observed35.66%Source [1]115,900 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
India → France2025observed14.47%Source [1]36,720 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Pakistan → France2025observed9.314%Source [1]22,960 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Thailand → France2025observed25.03%Source [1]64,730 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Vietnam → France2025observed5.191%Source [1]17,860 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Burma → Germany2025observed1.958%Source [1]3,249 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Cambodia → Germany2025observed13.33%Source [1]14,240 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
India → Germany2025observed34.07%Source [1]27,960 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Iran → Germany2025observed1.037%Source [1]333.8 t/yrSource [1]Strait of Hormuz, Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Japan → Germany2025observed1.937%Source [1]810.7 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Pakistan → Germany2025observed18.93%Source [1]14,410 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Thailand → Germany2025observed7.27%Source [1]5,964 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Vietnam → Germany2025observed12.17%Source [1]12,740 t/yrSource [1]Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canal, Strait of Malaccahigh
Pakistan → Greece2025cited23.7%Source [2]–Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Canada → India2025mirror–326.8 t/yrSource [4]Strait of Malaccahigh
Pakistan → Italy2025cited23.1%Source [2]–Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
India → Japan2025observed–8,105 t/yrSource [5]Strait of Malaccahigh
India → Netherlands2025cited30.5%Source [2]–Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh
Burma → Poland2025cited39.3%Source [2]–Bab el-Mandeb, Suez Canalhigh

Basis: observed (reported by the buyer), mirror (reported by the supplier) or cited (a published figure). Volumes are shown in the one unit the pack uses for this good and are never added. Rows to the EU (27) show on the switch.

Supplier concentration

No supplier concentration index on file for this good. The flow ledger lists the suppliers on file.

Scenario cases

  • Strait of Hormuz closed, restricted or unsafe

    In short In a 30-day closure some oil never arrives at all: of the economies shown, China loses the most, 310-317 million barrels. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

  • Red Sea: half of traffic avoids Bab el-Mandeb for 90 days

    In short Going round the Cape for 90 days loses nothing on lanes with a cited Cape route: 55 million barrels of the economies shown arrive late, most of it the EU's. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

  • Strait of Malacca closed for 14 days

    In short Closing the Strait of Malacca causes delay, not loss: ships go by Lombok and Makassar, about 3 days longer. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice. Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.

Briefs

No brief on this good alone yet. The library

Method

Every figure on this page carries its source, its year and a link; figures from 2023 or older carry an amber mark. The flows are the Strature network pack (approved, independently re-checked); a good has its own page when the pack carries ten or more flows for it. Shares are as published and never added; volumes stay in the one unit the pack uses for the good and are never added across goods. Routes are modelled main routes. The days in “Who runs short first” are read from the precomputed cases the network map and the scenario pages use; late cargo is never added to lost cargo, and the EU (27) is never added to its members. The forecast box shows our register’s words and estimates unchanged, each scored when it resolves.

Sources and licences

  1. [1] Share of EU (27)'s rice imports from India. Eurostat, 2025
  2. [2] Share of Belgium's rice imports from Burma. Eurostat Comext, 2025
  3. [3] Share of its imports of this good that pass the strait. MDIC/SECEX Comex Stat, 2025
  4. [4] Statistics Canada, 2025
  5. [5] Ministry of Finance Japan / e-Stat, 2025

Cite this page Strature, “Rice”, Strature GPS, https://strature.net/gps/goods/rice/, 31 Oct 2026.

  • Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; not a forecast; not advice.
  • Illustrative arithmetic on stated assumptions; it does not say whether, when or for how long a strait will close.
  • We say “the Gulf” for the sea also called the Persian Gulf or the Arabian Gulf.
  • Routes are modelled, not ship tracks; not for navigation.
  • No data provider endorses Strature or this page, and none is affiliated with us.
  • General research, not advice.